Reasonable estimates on the 'clean-up' timeline?
The United States is about 10 Trillion dollars in the red as it stands, I believe?
Now that the process of trying to rope that kind of beast can begin - any ideas on how Obama might b able to accomplish balancing a budget? Any ideas on how long, realistically, it would take to recoup from that kind of damage (...if it's even possible?)?
"Natasha has just come up to the window from the courtyard and opened it wider so that the air may enter more freely into my room. I can see the bright green strip of grass beneath the wall, and the clear blue sky above the wall, and sunlight everywhere. Life is beautiful. Let the future generations cleanse it of all evil, oppression and violence, and enjoy it to the full."
- Leon Trotsky, Last Will & Testament
February 27, 1940
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I don't think we'll see a balanced budget anytime soon.
My guess is that if we stop incurring debt right this minute and start working on paying it off, we should be out of debt in about 500 years. I might be a tad optimistic in my estimates though.
It takes a village to raise an idiot.
Save a tree, eat a vegetarian.
Sometimes " The Majority " only means that all the fools are on the same side.
I don't think it'll take long, all he has to do is go to the mint and print out 10 trillion dollars right?
I know it wouldn't come close to covering the whole debt, but I always wondered if it would be worth it to orchestrate some kind of nation-wide drive, not unlike the drive for charitable donations right after Katrina. In my area at least, you couldn't go into any store without seeing a donation jar near the check-out. We'd probably be lucky if such a thing even raised HALF of ONE trillion, but if it were possible to throw a couple hundred million at the debt from mere charity, why not do it?
I'd throw some money into a "Balance The Fucking Budget" bucket. But maybe not everyone would.
A place common to all will be maintained by none. A religion common to all is perhaps not much different.
On the contrary, Obama does not plan to cut back on spending. He will further our decent into crippling debt. Though perhaps he will not drag us down into it as fast as Bush has been. How much has Obama proposed for his stimulus? Was it $800 billion? I'm pretty sure he will increase in national debt.
One thing I will give him though, he will increase the debt by spending money on Americans rather than wasting money on pointless wars that we should not have started. If he has to bankrupt our government, he might as well spread the money to Americans.
"You say that it is your custom to burn widows. Very well. We also have a custom: when men burn a woman alive, we tie a rope around their necks and we hang them. Build your funeral pyre; beside it, my carpenters will build a gallows. You may follow your custom. And then we will follow ours."
British General Charles Napier while in India
We should ask, though, how much of his stimulus should be seen as "spending" and how much of it should be seen as "investment"?
One is a debt creator. The other, not necessarily.
A place common to all will be maintained by none. A religion common to all is perhaps not much different.
Three years if we declare that we are paying no interest.
Two years if we put a two dollar tax for every 2oz. of alcohol consumed in the US.
One year if we sell Canada to someone else.
One year if we seize Canadian gold and diamond mines.
Six months if we put a tariff on pot going to Canada.
Right now, if we call in every debt we have underwritten in the world. We have TARP times nine invested elsewhere. We're allegedly leverages to $56.7 TRILLION.
Passing a buck around the world gives back $0.18. We put $0.82 back and pass it again. Stop passing the buck and still collect the $0.18 for every past buck passed for 7 years.
OR
300,000,000 Americans putting $1 a day toward it = 33,333 days = 91.26 years
Canadians! Sitting in snow yelling at the shelter house, "Nyah Nyah Nyah Nah Boo Boo. You owe money. Nyah Nyah Nyah Nah Boo Boo."
Come down here and say that. LOL.
Punks.
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Well geez, someone's a tad senstive about their GDP.
'Shelter house'? You'll have to explain that one to me.
- Leon Trotsky, Last Will & Testament
February 27, 1940
Sure. Right after you explain to me why Canadians only love me when they're drunk. lol.
No really. I don't know what 'shelter house' means. I was just posting. lol.
Between you and me, I'd live there if it wasn't so freakin' COLD. I speak French and all I would have to do is add 'eigh?' to the end of every English sentence. Piece of cake, eigh?
When you really look at Canada, why is life so peaceful?
I think it's because Americans are keeping it as a rally point in case the shit hits the fan in the rest of the world.
I can hear it now. "Fall Back to Canada and regroup! Take the women, gold, wheat, and leave the rest when we mount our counteroffense!"
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Clinton fucked us when he signed the NAFTA agreement. It paved the way for outsourcing and fucked this country for jobs so, that's just one thing.
Obviously a joke. Corporations would die from laughter.
Even if we were to do that, are you suggesting that we tax imports that same way? Do you think other countries would actually go for that? Everyone already despises us enough as it is.
I hear the Dutch are looking to expand their empire of wooden shoes and windmills.
Over their dead lumberjacks. Canada exhausted it's supply of gold and closed up it's last gold mine two years ago so, you better have some damn sharp ice skates to be able to take over their diamond industry.
I take it you mean medicinal marijuana. Not really familiar with America/Canadian affairs as far as weed goes.
Even a good suggestion in the face of an ultimate collapse means very little. The economy will eventually plummet and no new deal or plan will pull it out unless more drastic measures are taken. America's money system just isn't cutting it anymore.
BigUniverse wrote,
"Well the things that happen less often are more likely to be the result of the supper natural. A thing like loosing my keys in the morning is not likely supper natural, but finding a thousand dollars or meeting a celebrity might be."
Well, honesty, the basic question that you seem to be asking is really far too complicated to ask with the simple words that you are using. Let me start with some basic terminology.
GDP stands for gross domestic product. Basically, it is one of the key indicators of our economy. Most importantly, it is a measure of what is out there in any given year that can possibly be taxed.
Past that is where this gets hairy. You need to make category distinctions between terms that seem to be similar but are not.
Federal Deficit: In any given year, the government takes in a certain amount of cash. Then they spend a different amount of cash. If they take in more than they spend, the the deficit is negative. Basically, they get to pay down some of the debt. If they spend more than they take in, the deficit is positive. Here, they add to the debt.
Federal Debt: What the government owes over the long haul. It gets large sometimes and smaller others but it never really goes away.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
OK, with that out of the way, the deficit is a number in the billions of dollars and the debt is a number in the trillions of dollars. We really need to keep them separate in our minds.
The debt is fairly steady and nobody really expects to pay it off, basically ever. In fact, if we did pay the debt off, we would fuck the economy far worse than keeping it around. You see, most of that is accounted for and understood. And the interest payments on that are largely what the government owes to the people in the form of interest on bonds and stuff. That much is figured into the yearly budget and happens to be one of the smaller slices of the pie chart.
The deficit is what can and does change from year to year. As I said above, it can be positive or negative. Also, it is interesting to note that it absolutely does not matter one whit which party is running the show.
During the first of Clinton's terms, the deficit grew farther and faster than it did in the preceding twelve years of republican government. At the same time, the GDP was growing like gang busters, so nobody really noticed that Clinton was outspending Reagan and Bush 41 by a fair bit.
During Clinton's second term, his spending increased even more but the growth in GDP leveled out. However, he also bumped everyone's taxes enough to cover what he was doing. In fact, in FY 2000, despite having an economy that was in the toilet, he managed to make a small payment on the overall debt. Pretty much, that is where the money for the old Bush 43 tax cut came from. Clinton was soaking the economy for all that it was worth in order to claim one last, fairly meaningless accomplishment.
Enter Bush 43 who decided to do a huge giveback for his economic stimulus package. For the record, every incoming president has an economic stimulus package. Even when the economy is doing well, people always like to feel as if they are being given something.
Hence the rallying cry from the first year of Bush 43, “OMG! He is SPENDING THE SURPLUS!!!”
Bullshit he was. There never was a surplus to spend. He just chose not to take in as much as his predecessor did.
Less even. We stand at not quite nine trillion in debt. However, as noted above, our economy depends on there being a large debt to keep it moving in the right direction. If Obama does decide to fix the problem by printing money, which BTW is not a presidential power, you can look forward to paying $20 for a loaf of bread and $500 every time that you gas up your car.
Seriously, that is how Hitler paid to rearm Germany when he got into power and there are photographs from that time of people carrying wheel barrows instead of wallets. Nobody really worried about other people grabbing handfuls of cash from each other as it was about as valuable as toilet paper.
Also, forget about savings. If inflation hit 100%, it would be basic math that the change in your pocket is worth half as much a year later. Sure, a savings account in such an economy would pay like 50% interest but that would only make your impoverishment drag on a little longer.
=
How much can be done about balancing the budget with an economy shot to hell?
Hint: the last administration that tried that was Herbert Hoover's - we know how well that worked.
"I do this real moron thing, and it's called thinking. And apparently I'm not a very good American because I like to form my own opinions."
— George Carlin
We're already selling ourselves to you. We're your biggest trading partner.
You'd do better to seize our nickel mines, which can be more profitable. Of course, there are the ones in Cuba. Maybe you should just give up and admit that socialism works sometimes and trade with them so they don't have to put up with socialism PLUS a de facto dictatorship.
Oh Josh. We don't get our pot from you guys. You get your pot from us. That's because we have British Columbia, and you have a full-scale war-on-drugs. There's also the Jamaican connection, which is much easier to make by way of Toronto. Mexico does okay, but they're not connoisseurs like those hippies in BC.
Please. Americans invented that system to benefit their own economy at the expense of other nations' sovereignty. The debt you'd call in would be as real as the benefits you promised.
Naw, that's socialism. Helping one another out in a systematic way is un-American. You guys have to be spontaneous and erratic with your giving. What are you, commies?
No way. You guys have guns that you actually carry around with you. Mind you, that makes it more likely that you'll hurt yourselves, but I'm not going anywhere near that craziness.
Hehe.
Saint Will: no gyration without funkstification.
fabulae! nil satis firmi video quam ob rem accipere hunc mi expediat metum. - Terence
I think Ben Bernanke already beat him to that.
Good thing all the banks got nationalized without anyone noticing, though. There doesn't have to be a New Deal, because Obama's inaguration present is the country's banks! Shit, if this keeps up, the US is going to have a stable banking system like Canada.
Yeah, suck on that, Josh. Our banking system is stable. Yeah. Uh ... hmm.
Saint Will: no gyration without funkstification.
fabulae! nil satis firmi video quam ob rem accipere hunc mi expediat metum. - Terence
The first thing he needs to do is regulate the Federal Reserve Bank. Get those money grubing sons of bitches on a leash.
After eating an entire bull, a mountain lion felt so good he started roaring. He kept it up until a hunter came along and shot him.
The moral: When you're full of bull, keep your mouth shut.
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I love it.
Everything that 'hurts' the greedy or well-to-do is automatically "SOCIALISM!" lol
I've said it before and I'll say it again. Socialism doesn't involve money of any kind and that, my friends, is the answer to your deficit.
POOF! It doesn't exist.
Putting money into the hands of the poor merely keeps their hands too busy to take what you have to benefit everyone.
Giving money to the poor is capitalism's xanax prescription for social anxiety.
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When I opened this thread, I thought it was going to be about crews working through the night to clean up all the trash left behind by inaugural attendees.