Too many people...

spike.barnett
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Too many people...

At the risk of sounding like a complete dickhead.... I think there are way too many fucking people on this planet. It's about time we handled this problem. What do you guys and girls think?

After eating an entire bull, a mountain lion felt so good he started roaring. He kept it up until a hunter came along and shot him.

The moral: When you're full of bull, keep your mouth shut.
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 See, the thing is, in

 See, the thing is, in sexually reproducing creatures, the evolutionary drive is conspicuous consumption.  It's not enough to show the females that you are sufficient for mating.  Almost every male is sufficient for mating.  What a female wants to know is that her male has more than the other males.

Think about it.  I can spend a month's pay on a nice suit and some bling.  I can go out to some hot spot with a new haircut and a manicure and drop a hundred bucks on two martinis and a cheese plate.  I can tell the girls that I'm rich.  It's possible that one of them might buy it, but the odds are pretty good that I'm not getting any play until they see that I live in a huge house, drive a conspicuously expensive car, and have a closet full of expensive suits.

A peacock's tail is huge and gaudy precisely because females want males with extra resources to spare.  It's counterintuitive at first, but it makes perfect sense.  If I have enough resources not only to keep myself alive, but also to sport a gigantic appendage that alerts all my predators to my exact location... and I still survive... well, I must be a super badass.

So here lies the crux of the population problem.  Technically, it's not impossible for 6 billion people to live sustainably.  We could all live minimal existences, subsisting on locally available food sources and being faithful stewards of the environment, never encroaching on necessary ecological niches, even when we were stacked up on triple and quadruple bunk beds in tiny studio apartments.

Once you realize that we're driven by evolution and that it's completely, utterly, and in all other ways antithetical to what it means to be human for us to do such a thing, then you realize that the theoretical solutions simply will not happen.  Humans will always overconsume.  China will continue to hide their cities under pollution clouds.  Japan will continue to stack businessmen like sardines in hotels.  We will drive the tuna extinct once we get finished with the whales.  Americans will always drive gas guzzlers so long as there is oil.  When the oil gets dangerously close to being gone, only the rich people will drive gas guzzlers, and they'll get laid for their efforts.

 

 

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darth_josh
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No. I'm saying birth rates

No. I'm saying birth rates don't matter as much as y'all think. It is NOT the only number used when calculating population growth.

I find it humorous, Kevin, that you say:

Kevin wrote:
Josh, is it just that the numbers are too big for you to intuit or something?

 That's really fucking funny. One of these days, I may explain. For now, I'll just point to the fact that in real life, ONE thing that I manage delivers thousands of kilograms of material per week and I have to account for where it goes. 

 

Quote:
6 and a half billion.

Yes. Approximately 6,500,000,000. Those aren't just numbers. They're PEOPLE.

 

Quote:
 If you 'don't believe' that the human population has experienced an exponent in population growth over the past few centuries, I guess that's your business; the numbers stand for themselves.

I don't have to 'believe' it. It's evident. However, the number has risen why?

You're not arguing with a theist so put your 'A' game on already.

The number is a composite number. As such, variables within the demographic are not factored.

 

Quote:
Do you actually have an argument against the notion that a few billion large mammals (the average human weighing-in at well over 100 lbs) are going to be unable to sustain such a large population over time?

Huh? Reread that. Your asking me to substantiate your argument, not mine.

My position is that people declaring 'overpopulation' as fact have no idea what the 'number' could be or needs to be to warrant the cries of unsustainability.

Given: There are vast resources on this planet as yet untapped.

Given: Only within the last half-century(that's 50 years for numbers, right Kevin? lol) has there been a drive to find renewable resources. Reduce, Reuse, Recycle.

Given: Most of the world is seeking guidance on this issue from each other.

Given: No hard trend regarding population growth beyond 10 years has been accurate enough to use as a base for future trend predictions. 

Postulate: Since there are this many unknowns, we cannot assert that we are overpopulated.

Accusation 1: Declaring that we are currently or will be 'overpopulated' soon is irrational

Accusation 2: Forcing contraception or euthenasia is unethical; primarily because it is based upon the aforementioned irrational precept of 'overpopulation'. 

 

 

Quote:
There used to be wild bison, mammoths and all other manner of megafauna throughout North America. You'll perhaps want to note that it wasn't terrible difficult for us to very quickly wipe them all out.

No wait. Really? It was early man that killed off the megafauna??? Wow. You're going to need to publish that! Holy shit, batman. I seriously thought all you caveman haters were christian? I'm pretty sure it has been established that early man was a small factor in this. The glacial ice age wiped out your big critters, Kevin. With the exception of bison which were still prevalent until the mid-to-late 1800's. Shooting them for sport from the tops of railroad cars as I recall reading. lol.

Nice try though.

We manage food now. Missouri has a huge buffalo farm. The guy that picks up some of my scrap brought me 2 lbs. of frozen bison. It wasn't bad.

I hear they have ranches in Canada too. Is that true? lol.

 

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The Doomed Soul
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How come no ones asked me

How come no ones asked me for my incredibly detailed, and plausible plans to solve this crisis yet?

Im hurt guys... seriously -_-

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darth_josh
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The Doomed Soul wrote:How

The Doomed Soul wrote:

How come no ones asked me for my incredibly detailed, and plausible plans to solve this crisis yet?

Im hurt guys... seriously -_-

 

Perhaps we have had our weekly limit of wanton graphic violence for the week, doomed. It's been a little 'rough' around here lately. Go easy on us, please.

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Luminon
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The Doomed Soul wrote:How

The Doomed Soul wrote:

How come no ones asked me for my incredibly detailed, and plausible plans to solve this crisis yet?

Im hurt guys... seriously -_-

The question should be... is your solution better than mine?
Anyway, there are some problems with that. This crisis can not be solved, should not be solved, and it didn't really start yet, it's should be much worse in the months ahead. Until then, the guys here will feel OK and won't care for a solution.


 

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The Doomed Soul
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Luminon wrote:The Doomed

Luminon wrote:

The Doomed Soul wrote:

How come no ones asked me for my incredibly detailed, and plausible plans to solve this crisis yet?

Im hurt guys... seriously -_-

The question should be... is your solution better than mine?
Anyway, there are some problems with that. This crisis can not be solved, should not be solved, and it didn't really start yet, it's should be much worse in the months ahead. Until then, the guys here will feel OK and won't care for a solution.


 

 

 

Having not red any of it... Yes, yes... mine is better

 

Actually, i think ill get started on a little project that co-incides with it >.>

Which im sure will be an entertaining, and "enlightening" read

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Jacob Cordingley
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I'm actually quite disgusted

I'm actually quite disgusted by those here who say they're hoping for plagues and wars to wipe out considerable parts of the population. I agree the world is overpopulated but could we really wish for global epidemics or global conflicts? I wouldn't wish death on anyone.

I do agree with limiting the number of children couples are allowed to have. I'd say 2 is a good number. I do disagree with the way it is enforced in China and with limiting it to just a single child. I think there should be financial rewards for those that stick to the limit that are taken away (but not to a crippling level on the family) if they go above the limit. Prosecuting the parents would have a negative effect on the children. It's one thing taking away people's civil liberties (although when it's necessary then it's necessary) but to enforce it with an iron fist will lead to further ill feeling, the only way to effectively get people to be obedient is to make people feel good, reward them and then they won't feel so bad. This isn't the damned 42 day ruling on holding terrorist suspects without charge (in the UK), or the imprisonment without trial at Guantanamo Bay, which are cruel, unnecessary and frankly dangerous policies, this kind of policy is helping to stop the world from overpopulating.

In situations such as subsistance farming in Africa, such a policy wouldn't work. You'd need to change the economics involved to give the farmers less reason to need so many children. Some people here have asked why they don't just hire people? Well maybe they can't afford to. Paying a wage to feed and man and his family would obviously cost more than feeding one of your own mouths. Also, the rates of infant mortality in Africa are ridiculously high, where infant mortality is high then families are always going to have a lot of children. My great grandfather was born in a very impoverished family in Ireland at a time of high infant mortality, persecution by the British (which kinda makes me ashamed to be British, even though genetically I'm half Irish) and lack of basic sanitation. He was one of a ridiculous amount of children, and only five of them survived. It might seem odd to have a lot of children when there's scarcely any food, but when you're a farmer it pays, because they can help you farm the land, it also secures you carers when you're older. In order to change this you need to get rid of the poverty.


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There have been a tremendous

There have been a tremendous amount of posts, all of which verify my signature, since I last commented.  As I do not live on the internet, I'll only respond to the one post by Nikolaj which seemed to generate much acclaim, and to which the others nearly invariably deferred.

Before I address his actual quotes, I must remind the readers that the plan to effect the "slaughter" of the world's population was a satire thrown in for good fun.  My mistake, atheists only pretend to be carefree to the world.  Lighten up!

As to the serious discourses:

"The only moral course?
I find it immoral to kill people against their will. I find it immoral to force people, through intimidation, to not have children.
BUT I do not find it immoral to urge people to not have children. And you can urge them however you like. If a poor African farmer wants to have 12 children, I would want to tell him that I think he shouldn't. I would argue as best I could. But I would do my best to understand his motives, and I would know, that some arguments would be counter-productive, even if I found them morally correct arguments."

That's very nice.  Practically, a series of philisophical disputations will not bring about the desired result of decreasing the world population.  If this is a serious discussion on actual reduction of the world's birth rate, you need a new plan.

"If a well off Libetarian American wants to espouse his freedom to, his right to, have 12 children, and that noone has the right to tell him not to, I would argue with him too, but I would readily use the emotional argument that I think he was being spoiled, self-serving, and, literally: immoral."

He is responding to his natural impulses, by biology's reckoning of man the animal.  It's the selfish gene. 

"We are all free to do whatever we want. Indeed, ironically, we are bound to, forced to do whatever we want (that is: only I can make my own choices)."

And you make no exception for duress, irresistable impulse, or any of the other conditions which it has been agreed inhibit seriously the free will of man? 

"So freedom is a red herring. You can kill people if you want to. You'll have to deal with the potential social and legal fall-out of that, but it is your choice to do whatever you want. You are FREE to do so. Responsibility is what is not given. We have to fight for responsibility: both our own, and others'. You can't fight for freedom. Every act you do, every thought you have is free. It cannot be otherwise."

Yes it can, see above.

"And I want to fight for responsibility. I will be responsible. I will have no more than two children, one for me, and one for whoever I have them with. That way, at least, I wont bring more people into the world."

Thanks for sharing.  Once again, this does nothing except help maintain and reduce the atheist population (thanks, thanks, and ever thanks for that).  You've yet to convince me that any solution based upon "urging" people to be "responsible" could ever be an effective global solution to avert a Malthusian catastrophe.

"I will urge others to take that responsibility. And depending on who I try to urge to be responsible, I will urge them with conviction and with passion, and I don't care if it offends their selfish impulses."

I will urge you to convert to Christianity with conviction and passion.  Will you convert to Christianity?

"Libetarians who want to espouse their freedom to have as many children as they want can kiss my ass! I have an earful to tell them about starvation, disease and warfare, and about taking responsibility for their fellow man and their planet's future, and not just themselves, and their immediate family."

I'm not a libertarian.  I am a Christian.  As such, I must respect the free will of men.  I find no viable solution to control the "population" variable which does not impede on the free will of men.

Take into account, then, that most historical efforts at population control, eugenics have failed.  Take into further account that industry and science have repeatedly been able to improve the techniques of agriculture, increase food production, and make the world inhabitable by more and more people.  Indeed, the last predicted Malthusian crisis was averted by such rapid developments in farming. 

Of the options presented, then, the only viable, moral choice is to focus not on the variable of population, though activists like Nikolaj remain privately free to do as they will, but rather to focus on the variable of food & resources. 

It strikes me as better to fail at an endeavour nobly than, in saving humanity, to lose one's own.

 

I take it as given that you disagreed with my post; do come quickly to the point.


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Quote:Yes. Approximately

Quote:
Yes. Approximately 6,500,000,000. Those aren't just numbers. They're PEOPLE.

They are people. So WHAT?

P1: The population group we are talking about consists of people.

C: ???

You want to arbitrarily assign some special value to individual human life, and I don't buy it. Justify your stance to me.

Moreover, if you share my goal of minimizing suffering, how do you reconcile that with condemning future generations to a planet with virtually no food, fuel or ore left on it?

Quote:
My position is that people declaring 'overpopulation' as fact have no idea what the 'number' could be or needs to be to warrant the cries of unsustainability.

World Population Prospects Database

1950 world population: 2,535,093,000
1960 world population: 3,031,931,000 ( 496,838,000 growth )
1970 world population: 3,698,676,000 ( 666,745,000 growth )
1980 world population: 4,451,470,000 ( 752,792,000 growth )
1990 world population: 5,294,879,000 ( 843,409,000 growth )
2000 world population: 6,124,123,000 ( 829,244,000 growth )
2005 world population: 6,514,751,000 ( 390,624,000 growth )

...From this chart, we can extrapolate that the trend will result in a global population growth of roughly ~770,000,000 (conservatively) from 2005 to 2010. So world population growth likely peaked in the 1990s, and is now slowing down - and the beginning of the trend looks like it wants to do an even bell curve (so growth may back down at roughly the same rate we saw it climb).

So, yes, we can build reasonably accurate predictions at where the population may be 20 years from now.

Now, how much arable land do we need per person? As a general rule, I'm familiar with the 'half a hectare' measurement - 10,000 square meters in order to provide a balanced diet, and ensure security against crop failure.

So, we're looking at (with 6.5 billion people right now) 32,500,000,000,000 square meters of space required for food production - in arable areas that are appropriate for such production!

Total land area of the Earth?

 

148,940,000,000 square meters.

 

Hm. I guess we have the numbers afterall. Sticking out tongue

 

Note that this doesn't even take into account the gradual degradation of arable lands as we use the nutrients in the soil, the depletion of fossil fuels that are currently necessary to run the machinery required to harvest much of the food or the sheer, jaw-dropping, hair-pulling amount of damage we do when we convert grasslands and forests into farmland.

Quote:

Given: There are vast resources on this planet as yet untapped.

Given: Only within the last half-century(that's 50 years for numbers, right Kevin? lol) has there been a drive to find renewable resources. Reduce, Reuse, Recycle.

There are vast but finite amounts of resources on the Earth, and our ability to process these resources is likewise finite. If our population outstrips these resources, we will face the repercussions.

Renewable resources can and hopefully will make-up for our energy concerns, but cannot make-up for our food concerns, unless we find some way to allow humans to photosynthesize. Sticking out tongue

Quote:
No wait. Really? It was early man that killed off the megafauna??? Wow. You're going to need to publish that! Holy shit, batman. I seriously thought all you caveman haters were christian? I'm pretty sure it has been established that early man was a small factor in this. The glacial ice age wiped out your big critters, Kevin. With the exception of bison which were still prevalent until the mid-to-late 1800's. Shooting them for sport from the tops of railroad cars as I recall reading. lol.

The Bison were also killed en masse by native americans in ghastly wasteful displays at Buffalo jumps, though nobody likes to bring it up. Had the trend continued, it's hardly likely that they would have survived regardless of european settlers coming over and shooting them for sport.

The woolly mammoths were almost certainly pushed to extinction by human hands; see the work done by the Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales this year. Their study concluded that the mammoths had their habitat reduced to a small portion of it's original size by the rising temperatures at the end of the Pleistocene, and were killed-off after humans entered these habitats and overhunted them.

So, no, I don't really need to publish that. It's already been published.

Quote:
"Natasha has just come up to the window from the courtyard and opened it wider so that the air may enter more freely into my room. I can see the bright green strip of grass beneath the wall, and the clear blue sky above the wall, and sunlight everywhere. Life is beautiful. Let the future generations cleanse it of all evil, oppression and violence, and enjoy it to the full."

- Leon Trotsky, Last Will & Testament
February 27, 1940


Hambydammit
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 I've said many times that

 I've said many times that the way to change people's behavior is to change their environment.  This goes for first and third world.  In America and other Western countries, our culture teaches us that having children is the pinnacle of human existence.  A woman's "purpose" is to be a mother.  A man isn't really a grown up until he has raised a child.  And so on... and so on... and so on.

Changing this attitude is not an easy thing since it really does match our biology in quite a few ways.  It's not impossible, though.  Consider that even though conspicuous consumption is the norm for humans, we had a brief period in the 70s when everybody was all about the economical cardboard boxes with go-cart engines.  (Anybody remember the late 70s Honda Civics?  You could pick those things up with two strong guys.)  The same kind of cultural attitude could be molded with regard to childbirth.  Make TV shows about strong women who choose not to have children.  Portray the single life as something other than irresponsible party people who can't make anything useful out of themselves.  Of course, ending the power of Christianity as a moral compass would be nice.

I've been trying not to butt into Josh and KB's convo, but here's my two cents -- and believe me, that's all you're getting.  I think you're both right and your both wrong.  It's certainly not just about birth rates.  Reducing the population drastically would have its own problems, particularly when you rule out euthanasia for all the elderly people who will still be alive when there aren't enough yung'uns to keep the Country Buffet open.  However, as DG has pointed out a couple of times, when you have as many people as we do -- almost all of whom consume conspicuously -- you are damned if you do, damned if you don't.  I'm not going to get into speculation about where the human population will level off.  There is certainly a leveling off point, but what I think is slipping past some people in this conversation is that starvation, disease, and other nasty things are what cause the leveling off.  As we have already noted, people don't stop having kids just because they'll starve.  Africa, anyone?  Sally Struthers would be out of work if people naturally accounted for future food availability.  So for those who think it's humane and moral to let the population take care of itself, I'm sorry, but that's the equivalent to saying that it's ok to leave your pet hamster in the same cage with your pet cat because nature will take its course.

We simply don't know exactly what will happen with the human population in the future.  Certainly global warming will factor into the equation as various ecological niches change character.  Extinction events -- both for flora and fauna -- will have a significant impact as well.  What if the ice caps melt?  What if significant glaciers drop into the ocean before they melt completely?  What if the bees die?  There are lots of things that might increase or decrease the total sustainable population cap.  This is all neither here nor there IF you hold that it is a bad idea for us to reach our population cap.

That's what this is all about -- not when and how the human population will cap, but how we can humanely keep it from capping.  I suppose there are some who will argue that we needn't worry about it, but I suggest that they don't know much about ecology.  Bearing in mind humans' innate belief that sparing suffering for huge groups of people is a good thing, it's hard to find a compelling argument for just letting things be.

 

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Quote:I've been trying not

Quote:
I've been trying not to butt into Josh and KB's convo, but here's my two cents -- and believe me, that's all you're getting.  I think you're both right and your both wrong.  It's certainly not just about birth rates.  Reducing the population drastically would have its own problems, particularly when you rule out euthanasia for all the elderly people who will still be alive when there aren't enough yung'uns to keep the Country Buffet open.

Which is wy I've often proposed we also implement an age cap, and while we're at it, abolish the notion that death is so absolutely and horrifyingly terrible. It's an intrinsic part of the system, and until we're willing to accept that and incorporate it into our decision-making, we aren't go beyond being a flash in the pan.

 

I believe the rest of what you said I'm in agreement with.

Quote:
"Natasha has just come up to the window from the courtyard and opened it wider so that the air may enter more freely into my room. I can see the bright green strip of grass beneath the wall, and the clear blue sky above the wall, and sunlight everywhere. Life is beautiful. Let the future generations cleanse it of all evil, oppression and violence, and enjoy it to the full."

- Leon Trotsky, Last Will & Testament
February 27, 1940


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 Quote:Now, how much arable

 

Quote:
Now, how much arable land do we need per person? As a general rule, I'm familiar with the 'half a hectare' measurement - 10,000 square meters in order to provide a balanced diet, and ensure security against crop failure.

So, we're looking at (with 6.5 billion people right now) 32,500,000,000,000 square meters of space required for food production - in arable areas that are appropriate for such production!

Total land area of the Earth?

 

148,940,000,000 square meters.

Hrm... so by that calculation, a lot of living people are dead of starvation.  Doesn't quite make sense.  Clearly there's enough food to keep 6.5 billion people alive, so that half a hectare must be wrong.  I get that you're saying half a hectare ensures security against crop failure, but can we really take the entire planet as a single ecosystem?  If crops fail in China, sure the U.S. will send a few trucks of grain over, but in the long run, when a local population starves, it's because that particular part of the earth was overpopulated.  Granted, there is a total number of people that the earth can sustain, but I'd think that can only be roughly estimated by a much more thorough study of localized ecologies.  For instance, I have no doubt that parts of Africa are already topped out, and probably cannot help but decline because of starvation as arable land turns to desert.  The U.S., on the other hand, could probably take at least another couple billion people.  Look at how many more people are in China or India compared to here.

 

 

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Problem is it wouldn't be an

Problem is it wouldn't be an acceptable lifestyle for most westerners. He did say that half a hectare was to provide a balanced diet, not to prevent starvation. I can almost guarantee the average westerner would rather see thousands of Africans starve to death than have to eat a bland diet that's enough to keep them relatively healthy but hungry and only drink water for a year, let alone for life.

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 Quote:Which is wy I've

 

Quote:
Which is wy I've often proposed we also implement an age cap, and while we're at it, abolish the notion that death is so absolutely and horrifyingly terrible.

/me slaps KB with a trout.

Dude, if you just tell me you're not serious, all will be ok.  Otherwise, I'm going to have to tell you to get put on some meds.  Haven't you seen Logan's Run?

Quote:
 It's an intrinsic part of the system, and until we're willing to accept that and incorporate it into our decision-making, we aren't go beyond being a flash in the pan.

I'm sorry, dude, but preventing someone from being conceived is in a totally different ballpark than ending someone's life.  I can't think of a reasonable way to institute euthanasia without a totalitarian regime in the style of 1984.  That's because people love their grandparents, and their grandparents love them.  Old people find a great deal of meaning in life, and I, for one, am certainly not going to let some young whippersnapper decide I'm too old when I'm the one who has fifty years of knowledge and wisdom on him!

Do me a favor.  Go get Mark Twain's autobiography.  Read it.  Read it again.  Then come back and apologize for this post.

 

 

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I don't have time at he

I don't have time at the moment for a detailed post but, yeah....there are too many god damned people on the Earth.   More people equals more polution.  Humans produce waste products that tend to alter or destroy natural environments.  That's why we have land-fills to handle the tons of waste.   I don't want too see large swaths of nature paved over just because humans want to continue breeding like rats.


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Dogmatikon wrote:There have

Dogmatikon wrote:

There have been a tremendous amount of posts, all of which verify my signature, since I last commented.  As I do not live on the internet, I'll only respond to the one post by Nikolaj which seemed to generate much acclaim, and to which the others nearly invariably deferred.

Before I address his actual quotes, I must remind the readers that the plan to effect the "slaughter" of the world's population was a satire thrown in for good fun.  My mistake, atheists only pretend to be carefree to the world.  Lighten up!

As to the serious discourses:

"The only moral course?
I find it immoral to kill people against their will. I find it immoral to force people, through intimidation, to not have children.
BUT I do not find it immoral to urge people to not have children. And you can urge them however you like. If a poor African farmer wants to have 12 children, I would want to tell him that I think he shouldn't. I would argue as best I could. But I would do my best to understand his motives, and I would know, that some arguments would be counter-productive, even if I found them morally correct arguments."

That's very nice.  Practically, a series of philosophical disputations will not bring about the desired result of decreasing the world population.  If this is a serious discussion on actual reduction of the world's birth rate, you need a new plan.

I certainly would not be indulging "philosophical" discussions, there are plenty of really basic practical arguments that can be made. I will leave the empty philosophical and even emptier theological discussions of this important issue to the Churches and other groups similarly out of touch with reality.

What I had in mind is all part of the need for educating all people about the facts here - population growth rates need to brought down, since food resources are finite - it is that simple.

We inevitably will need more than just talk and education, but it would be criminal not to do all we can to get people to understand, as well as understanding their point of view. Whatever we can do to make it easier for people to adjust, by positive aid and assistance is also essential.

Quote:

Of the options presented, then, the only viable, moral choice is to focus not on the variable of population, though activists like Nikolaj remain privately free to do as they will, but rather to focus on the variable of food & resources. 

It strikes me as better to fail at an endeavour nobly than, in saving humanity, to lose one's own.

All orderly civilzed societies have required restraint of many 'natural' urges, and Christianity has traditionally gone much further to demonize many activities which are all part of what makes us human, including our individual variation of taste in food, art, recreation and other activities, including sexual interactions. So it is hypocritical in the extreme for a Christian to object to any imposition of restraint on the number of children a couple can be allowed to have.

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Quote:Hrm... so by that

Quote:
Hrm... so by that calculation, a lot of living people are dead of starvation.

No. A lot of people are malnourished, and famines / crop failures are not a rarity.

Yes, you have a point that various parts of the world are segregated from each other (so malnourishment in Africa does not equal malnourishment in America, and starvation in India & China from a Malthusian crisis as limited oil supply robs them of their ability to mechanize their agricultural industry will not equal starvation in Canada) - however, our current state of global political stability is owed in a large part to global trade. It's hard to maintain global markets when half of the planet can't feed itself.

Quote:

/me slaps KB with a trout.

Dude, if you just tell me you're not serious, all will be ok.  Otherwise, I'm going to have to tell you to get put on some meds.  Haven't you seen Logan's Run?

/me slaps Hamby back for being selfish. Sticking out tongue

Well, consider the options, hm? We're willing to restrict (within reason) the rights of breeding couples, but unwilling to restrict our own lifespans? Name one other animal species who's lifespan is 7 or more decades.

This is a problem.

It would be okay for you to call someone who has 4 or more kids selfish, while simply smiling at waving at the person who retires in their senior years, kicks back and does nothing but consume (this is something of an exaggeration, but consider that a senior citizen has a very limited capacity to contribute back the energy that they consume - particularly considering the extra medical attention they tend to require as they get older)?

Again, in my opinion, this is two shades of the same problem: the unwillingness to simply enjoy our emotions without letting them dictate our policies.

Quote:

I'm sorry, dude, but preventing someone from being conceived is in a totally different ballpark than ending someone's life.  I can't think of a reasonable way to institute euthanasia without a totalitarian regime in the style of 1984.  That's because people love their grandparents, and their grandparents love them.  Old people find a great deal of meaning in life, and I, for one, am certainly not going to let some young whippersnapper decide I'm too old when I'm the one who has fifty years of knowledge and wisdom on him!

Do me a favor.  Go get Mark Twain's autobiography.  Read it.  Read it again.  Then come back and apologize for this post.

Totalitarian regimes are about restricting thought & expression, not lifespan. No, it does not escape me that family members love each other - however, it certainly should not escape you that grandpa, whether it's 45 or 93, is going to die, and when he dies it will be painful for his family. Whether he dies in his sleep at 45 because that's the law (enacted because watching the world starve itself to death is hardly a wonderful alternative) or he dies in his sleep at 93 of natural causes, people are going to get hurt either way.

I would love to at least try to change people's perceptions about human death (if someone conflates what I just said with 'about violence' or 'about murder', I'll have to harm you. Sticking out tongue ), so we don't see it as such a big deal anymore. We lose things all of the time, we kill other animals all of the time and people just plain die all of the time. It's just what happens.

I don't expect people to not shed a tear whenever a friend or colleage or relative bites the dust in a car accident; however, this notion that death is the absolute worst thing that could possibly befall you, IMHO, just has to go.

Quote:
"Natasha has just come up to the window from the courtyard and opened it wider so that the air may enter more freely into my room. I can see the bright green strip of grass beneath the wall, and the clear blue sky above the wall, and sunlight everywhere. Life is beautiful. Let the future generations cleanse it of all evil, oppression and violence, and enjoy it to the full."

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Here; I can even provide a

Here; I can even provide a contemporary example of a situation where an age cap was the norm, and the society in question was neither totalitarian nor repulsive:

The Canadian Inuit.

It wasn't even a 'nice' sort of death. Once people in a community became too old to fish/catch food for the village - so they were, essentially, able to make no practical contributions yet still needed food themselves - they said goodbye to their loved ones and sent themselves out to sea on ice floes.

Perhaps you don't like it, but it was necessary to maintain the villages given the relative lack of resources in the upper north.

Quote:
"Natasha has just come up to the window from the courtyard and opened it wider so that the air may enter more freely into my room. I can see the bright green strip of grass beneath the wall, and the clear blue sky above the wall, and sunlight everywhere. Life is beautiful. Let the future generations cleanse it of all evil, oppression and violence, and enjoy it to the full."

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Kevin R Brown wrote: Name

Kevin R Brown wrote:

 Name one other animal species who's lifespan is 7 or more decades.

 

Tortoises often live 200 years.

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Yearh, I was gonna say

Yearh, I was gonna say tortoises too. And I believe elephants live as long as humans, more or less. Does anyone else know how long different whale species can live? Then there's giant octipuses (Or is it octipi? No, it's octipuses isn't it?). We know very little about them, but I'm fairly certain it's been discovered that they can live well beyond a hundred years.

But I digress... I was going to adress Dogmaticon's post.

 

<edit> Oh and crocodilles and alligators. They are can live 100+ years too, at least some species.

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I'll continue even though

I'll continue even though you skipped some.

 

Kevin wrote:

World Population Prospects Database

1950 world population: 2,535,093,000
1960 world population: 3,031,931,000 ( 496,838,000 growth )
1970 world population: 3,698,676,000 ( 666,745,000 growth )
1980 world population: 4,451,470,000 ( 752,792,000 growth )
1990 world population: 5,294,879,000 ( 843,409,000 growth )
2000 world population: 6,124,123,000 ( 829,244,000 growth )
2005 world population: 6,514,751,000 ( 390,624,000 growth )

...From this chart, we can extrapolate that the trend will result in a global population growth of roughly ~770,000,000 (conservatively) from 2005 to 2010. So world population growth likely peaked in the 1990s, and is now slowing down - and the beginning of the trend looks like it wants to do an even bell curve (so growth may back down at roughly the same rate we saw it climb).

So, yes, we can build reasonably accurate predictions at where the population may be 20 years from now.

Stop. Think.

You're saying the numbers represent global population growth is decreasing.

Now, I believe you agreed that health care has improved lifespan, which if the birth rate remained the problem then the numbers would make no sense whatsoever. You do see that, right?

The numbers represent people. The numbers change not based upon simply the people, but what the people are doing. There are a significant number of countries experiencing population decline right now. Short list: Ukraine(-.65%), Russia(-.47%), Germany(-.04%) The birth rate in any country on the face of the planet is projected to decrease. Meanwhile, the death rate in those countries will remain stagnant giving those countries a further decline in population growth.

Pray tell... when fewer people are there consuming food where will the surplus go? Won't it go/be sold to the places with more people? That was a side note. The important part of this is you're trying to make a trend from too many variables. AND you're making an illogical assertion that we are already overpopulated or will be soon.

I'd like to point to the fact that the global population took 40 years to double during a time when people weren't giving a shit about other places and people.

 

Kevin wrote:

Now, how much arable land do we need per person? As a general rule, I'm familiar with the 'half a hectare' measurement - 10,000 square meters in order to provide a balanced diet, and ensure security against crop failure.

So, we're looking at (with 6.5 billion people right now) 32,500,000,000,000 square meters of space required for food production - in arable areas that are appropriate for such production!

Total land area of the Earth?

 

148,940,000,000 square meters.

 

Hm. I guess we have the numbers afterall. Sticking out tongue

 

half a hectare!!! 5,000 m2

Those are numbers, but I'll be damned if I could eat that much food. Do Canadians have gardens? Rope off one square meter, plant your favorite vegetable(s), grow them until ripe, then in one day eat everything that has grown in that one square meter. I double-dog dare you.

Even on a good day, I couldn't eat an entire square meter worth. Trust me. I'd try.

Given that you must be using the number for a herd of livestock rather than one person, otherwise I'd say your numbers are crazy. 

Besides that, food doesn't just grow on land. Fish/seafood needs application to the number.

Dude, of all the sites I've perused there are none that account for all of the world's food and compare it to how many people it can support. For the life in me, I can't figure out why you want to maintain such an untenable position that we are 'overpopulated'.

 

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The 'half a hectare' measure

The 'half a hectare' measure comes from not only the space needed for the food, but for the food's production, josh. Housing equipment, housing laborers, setting-up infrastructure, etc.

Or did you think that none of that stuff needs to go anywhere?

Quote:
Dude, of all the sites I've perused there are none that account for all of the world's food and compare it to how many people it can support. For the life in me, I can't figure out why you want to maintain such an untenable position that we are 'overpopulated'.

Uh. Did you miss thsi thread? Desdenova and Jill beat me to the punch, but I'll post what Des wrote there for your benefit:

Quote:
The world grain harvest in 2006 produced 1,884 million tons of grain. Compare this with the 700 odd ton yield in 1950. This increase in production is a direct result of increase in population. Were we willing to destroy all native vegetation in Africa, thus causing the extinction of thousands of animal species and countless numbers of vegetable species, the total arable land there would be roughly 300 million hectares.The environmental damage would of course be immeasurable. Compare that paltry 300 million hectares to the 1,467 billion hectares that are currently being used to grow crops and tell me what a brilliant idea it is to convert Africa to croplands.

 

Moving back to the food problem, we have 1,884,000,000 tons of grain, but of this, some 35% is used for animal feed, and another 3% is used as fuel. This leaves us with 715,820,000 tons of grain for human consumption.

 

At an average of 1,700 calories per pound, this gives us a total of 3,400,000 calories per ton of grain. at  715,820,000 tons of grain production, this gives us a truly astronomical number of calories from all this grain. 2,433,788,000,000,000 calories.

 

But this number must be divided amongst the population of the world. The world population clock gives us 6,786,743,939 people as of July 1, 2008. This leaves us with 358609 calories per person.

 

              ( 2,433,788,000,000,000 / 6,786,743,939 =  358609.0799 )

 

But wait, this is the annual number of calories. We still have to divide this by 365 days, leaving the total calorie count of grain at 982 calories per person, per day.

 

              ( 358609.0799 / 365 = 982.490 )

 

Using these same figures, you can also calculate for yourself that 715,820,000 tons of grain equals 0.577 pounds of raw grain per person, per day.

 

End result: 982 calories versus the lie of 3,500 calories, and 0.5 pounds of raw, unprocessed grain versus the lie of 2.5 pounds.

 

Nut & legume harvest is harder to find information on, but I discovered that the current average world soybean harvest is around 150 million tons per year, and that the soybean harvest  dwarfs  all other combined nut & legume harvests. To be generous then, I will use 300,000,000 tons as the combined nut & legume harvest. Nuts and legumes pack far more calories than grain, mostly in oils. A good average is 3,000 calories per pound. From this we get 900,000,000,000 calories, or 0.36 calories per day, per person from their 1.22 ounces of nuts/legumes.

 

I was unable to find data on world annual fruit harvest estimates. Due to their heavy water content, the average fruit yields very little caloric value, with the average being 55 calories. Due to the fact that most fruits contain inedible portions such as skin or seeds, their usefulness as a food source is marginal and counterproductive on a mass scale. They are better used as a filler food, much like hay for herbivores, than as a form of sustenance.

 

With the exception of beets, parsnips, yams, potatoes, and red onions, most vegetable calorie content is marginal to negligible. Potatoes are the largest vegetable crop, with 229,763,900 tons harvested in 2007. One pound of baked or boiled potatoes contains 400 calories whereas a pound of parsnips will net you a whole 1,000 calories. Lacking complete data on annual world vegetable harvests, lets assign a figure of 1,000,000,000,000 tons, and give this hypothetical figure a calorie count of 600 per pound. that is 1,200,000,000,000,000,000 calories which is probably a reasonable figure since much of the worlds population gets their nourishment from vegetables. We can meet our calorie needs with vegetables, bringing in 484425 calories a day from this amount. The problem here is that each human on earth would have to eat 3 pounds of vegetables per day in order go gain 1,800 calories. They would have plenty of vegetables, roughly 807 pounds per person per day, but obviously most of that would go to waste.

 

Fish looks promising, with 340,749,293,926 pounds of fish being caught or raised in fisheries per year. Thats about a half ounce per day I think. Maybe 20 calories a day there.

 

World raw milk production is 2,282,175,000,000 tons ( 530,738,372,093,023 gallons ) before processing resulting in cheese, butter, and other dairy products. That is roughly 2,500 calories per gallon, and everyone gets 214 gallons a day in Stupidtopia. Drink up, please, drink up.

 

There are an estimated 1 billion pigs, 1.3 billion cows, 1.8 billion sheep and goats, and 13.5 billion chickens in the world.

 

Pig average weight = 240 pounds = 0.09688 pounds per person per day.

 

Bull average weight = 1,500 pounds = 0.787 pounds per person per day

 

Goat average weight = 140 pounds = 0.101 pounds per person per day

 

Chicken average weight = 5 pounds = 0.00272 pounds per person per day.

 

All this assumes that the person is consuming the whole animal, intestines, bone, eyes, and brain. The total can be reduced approximately 25% if we choose to avoid certain portions of the animals.

 

We have to understand that some foods have a limited shelf life. While we can produce a surplus of milk, it doesn't keep well. Fish spoils rapidly, as do most fruits. Transportation of foodstuff to areas that do not produce it must also be factored in. The foods that we can produce the most of are also the ones that have a poor shelf life, require unreasonable consumption of in order to maintain minimum calorie intake, or both. The calories are there, but in unconsumable form and unreasonable bulk. We are also faced with a dilemma if we attempt to restructure the numbers, say by increasing meat production at the expense of grain. As much of the grain is needed to feed the animals, a decrease in grain production causes animal starvation. To make matters worse, 38% of the population have a food allergy with fish, legumes, and certain fruits being the highest percentages. No matter how you juggle things, someone is going to starve or die of anaphylactic shock with whatever solution you seek. Regardless of communist propaganda, what we have now is fairly close to the best we are going to get. Robbing people that are intelligent enough to be successful is not the answer, as all it accomplishes is to make everyone poor.We saw this in the Soviet Union and we see it in Cuba. The answer is population control and education. We need to be educated enough to manage our personal resources, including finances, and we need to understand that the world simply is not going to support unlimited population growth.

 

More numbers, andthe ones you claimed to be looking for this time.

EDIT: Of course, you have your utopian blinders on, so I imagine you'll just dismiss whatever is presented to you anyway. Yes, Josh - we're doing just fine.

Quote:
"Natasha has just come up to the window from the courtyard and opened it wider so that the air may enter more freely into my room. I can see the bright green strip of grass beneath the wall, and the clear blue sky above the wall, and sunlight everywhere. Life is beautiful. Let the future generations cleanse it of all evil, oppression and violence, and enjoy it to the full."

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February 27, 1940


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Dogmatikon wrote:

Dogmatikon wrote:
...Practically, a series of philisophical disputations will not bring about the desired result of decreasing the world population.  If this is a serious discussion on actual reduction of the world's birth rate, you need a new plan.

For someone so adamantly opposed to totalitarian means to reduce birth rate, you seem to be rather arogantly dismissing any other proposition. I consider this a serious discussion, and I will still insist that genuine investment in communcation between people is the way to go. Call me naive if you want to. I'll certainly call you defeatist.

Dogmatikon wrote:
"If a well off Libetarian American wants to espouse his freedom to, his right to, have 12 children, and that noone has the right to tell him not to, I would argue with him too, but I would readily use the emotional argument that I think he was being spoiled, self-serving, and, literally: immoral."

He is responding to his natural impulses, by biology's reckoning of man the animal.  It's the selfish gene.

I allready told you that's not an argument. Just a statement of fact: Natural selection exists. Yes, I agree, so now what? Though many catholic priests start fondling little boys, and many evangelical American teenagers can't keep their hormones under control despite pressures from society, and their own religious conscious, I still note that a surprising amount of human kind are perfectly capable of surpressing and opposing many of their natural urges, and for the most redicolous reasons, no less. So why do you think people are completely incapable of doing anything other than what their "nature" leads them to do?

Dogmatikon wrote:
"We are all free to do whatever we want. Indeed, ironically, we are bound to, forced to do whatever we want (that is: only I can make my own choices)."

And you make no exception for duress, irresistable impulse, or any of the other conditions which it has been agreed inhibit seriously the free will of man?

No I don't.

Dogmatikon wrote:
"So freedom is a red herring. You can kill people if you want to. You'll have to deal with the potential social and legal fall-out of that, but it is your choice to do whatever you want. You are FREE to do so. Responsibility is what is not given. We have to fight for responsibility: both our own, and others'. You can't fight for freedom. Every act you do, every thought you have is free. It cannot be otherwise."

Yes it can, see above.

And here is why I don't. If you hold a gun to my head and tell me to do something I don't want to, like say, kill another person, or you'll shoot me, do I have a choice? Yes I do. A shitty choice, granted, but a choice none the less.

Indeed, the whole point is that I can't NOT have a choice, because whatever action I choose, it is a choice I made: kill the person, or refuse and get killed myself. (and, might I add, a billion other choices, like say try to overpower you, reason with you, or dance around and cluck like a chicken until something happens, or whip out my Johnson and start having a wank, because, if I gotta go, might as well go popping a load et.c.)

Only I can make my choices, and even if I am just a meat machine, and whatever I do is determined by the neurons in my brain, from my point of view, I'm still making the choice. Not the person holding the gun to my head, but me. This fundemental fact is the one thing I cannot escape. That to me is all free will is: a fundemantal constant of the universe that, in and of it self means nothing: it just is.

Dogmatikon wrote:
"And I want to fight for responsibility. I will be responsible. I will have no more than two children, one for me, and one for whoever I have them with. That way, at least, I wont bring more people into the world."

Thanks for sharing.  Once again, this does nothing except help maintain and reduce the atheist population (thanks, thanks, and ever thanks for that).  You've yet to convince me that any solution based upon "urging" people to be "responsible" could ever be an effective global solution to avert a Malthusian catastrophe.

Firstly, what makes you think I'm an atheist? And what makes you think that my girlfriend, who I hope will be the mother of my children one day, is an atheist?

Secondly, I wasn't trying to convince you that my solution "works". I was just telling people here that I will not use means that I find immoral (like coersion) to get people to breed less. I will "urge" them, because it is what I see as the most effective moral way to change the minds of people, and again, call me naive if you want to. I haven't excactly ellaborated very much on what I think it entails to "urge" people. I've so far only made it clear that it does not involve, intimadation or threat of force, but argumentation and appeal to people's own rationality and emotions.

Dogmatikon wrote:
"I will urge others to take that responsibility. And depending on who I try to urge to be responsible, I will urge them with conviction and with passion, and I don't care if it offends their selfish impulses."

I will urge you to convert to Christianity with conviction and passion.  Will you convert to Christianity?

Why don't you try it? Are you really so defiatist as to believe that what you think is the absolute truth is also something that you will be utterly incapable of convincing me of? You are a human, I am a human. If you can believe it, what makes you think I can't?

I can assure you, I am confident that if I could get to know you personally, and discuss and argue in a friendly setting over a period of time, I would get you to see my point of view. I have no doubt.

That's how much faith I have in my world view. Where is your faith in your Christianity?

The mere fact that you have so little faith in your ability to convince me of your Christian truth, even if you use conviction and passion, only strengthens my belief that I could get you to come round to my way of thinking. You are clearly allready doubting your own truth. I have never doubted mine.

Dogmatikon wrote:
"Libetarians who want to espouse their freedom to have as many children as they want can kiss my ass! I have an earful to tell them about starvation, disease and warfare, and about taking responsibility for their fellow man and their planet's future, and not just themselves, and their immediate family."

I'm not a libertarian.  I am a Christian.  As such, I must respect the free will of men.  I find no viable solution to control the "population" variable which does not impede on the free will of men.

I am not a Christian, but I too respect the free will of men. Like the African farmer. Which is why I will talk to him, argue with him, and then let it be his free choice to listen to me, and thus be convinced (because my argument will be sound) or shut his ears to my argument, and thus continue to live in denial.

At present he doesn't know the negative implications for himself, his loved ones, and the future of the planet. Once he has heard my argument, he will know, and will have only two options: do the right thing, or live in denial. That is his choice, not mine.

This is a simplified portrail of a hypothetical situation. I am not implying it is as easy as scratching your ear to educate people, but what I am saying, is that at the heart my argument, there is only those two options for a person who has been educated about the truth: acceptance or denial of that truth. This sounds very religious, I know, but I still believe it. Indeed I can't NOT believe it, only deny it, because it's the truth Eye-wink

And please note, that I don't much want to start with the African farmer. I think there are more effective ways for me personally, to do my part. Africa is a long way from here, and if I want to change people's minds by talking directly to them, there are people right outside my door that also need educating.

Not to mention myself. I can start by educating myself. Which is what I'm doing.

Dogmatikon wrote:
Take into account, then, that most historical efforts at population control, eugenics have failed.  Take into further account that industry and science have repeatedly been able to improve the techniques of agriculture, increase food production, and make the world inhabitable by more and more people.  Indeed, the last predicted Malthusian crisis was averted by such rapid developments in farming. 

Of the options presented, then, the only viable, moral choice is to focus not on the variable of population, though activists like Nikolaj remain privately free to do as they will, but rather to focus on the variable of food & resources.

Again, if you think the only moral solution is to keep feeding the beast, and let nature take it's cause, then I don't think you are looking hard enough.

Like I said, from an objective position, nature isn't evil. We can never allow ourselves to claim that, because clearly, it is not. It is not sentient, it doesn't have intent. It just is.

However, from a subjective standpoint, clearly, letting the world continue to spin out of control, to let more and more people suffer and die from starvation, disease and war, may be "natural", but certainly not desirable. Nature will fix the problem, of that we can be sure, but it will be very very painful for us.

And since we are now aware of this, it is immoral to deny this truth: the Earth cannot sustain an endless amount of people, but this is not Earth's problem: it's our problem. The Earth will still be here if we turn it into a barren wasteland. The Earth doesn't care if it's a barren wasteland. But since your grand-children will be living there, shouldn't you?

Dogmatikon wrote:
It strikes me as better to fail at an endeavour nobly than, in saving humanity, to lose one's own.

I completely agree.

And I think it is inhumane to "let nature take it's course", so why not undertake the noble endeavour of trying to do something about it?

If we must fail, then so be it. But let's at least try.

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Kevin wrote:More numbers,

Kevin wrote:

More numbers, andthe ones you claimed to be looking for this time.

wtf? Go back and reread the post. Nevermind. Here:

darth_josh wrote:
Dude, of all the sites I've perused there are none that account for all of the world's food and compare it to how many people it can support.

I honestly didn't see that thread before, but it still didn't meet the criteria. Read on.

 

While Desdenova's post is well-received, it also lacks exactly what I have been trying to reason with you. (I will ignore the use of previous years crops compared to the present population.)

Part of the world's population does not eat beef. Part of the world's population does not eat pork. Part of the world's population does not eat meat of any kind. Part of the world's population does not eat grains. Part of the world's population can't eat peanuts or strawberries or seafood.

You skipped the mention of the countries with declining populations.

You're trying to macroeconomically micromanage the world's population into YOUR notion of it already or soon being overpopulated and that doesn't work on any rational level.

 

As far as untapped resources, Canada has a fuckton of unused areas. The US is right there too. We have national forests forbidding crops or harvesting of fruits. Africa has giant swaths of land that people are forbidden from planting on because of unharvested/untouchable animals.

Does the grain count include rice? Where is the sugar(talking about calories)? Where are the eggs? Where is the ostrich? Alligator? Catfish farm? Shark?  [ALL ONE QUESTION]

Here's what I don't get coming from capitalists either... what about Manatee/dugong farms? Elephant farms instead of just sanctuaries?

Did you mow your lawn this year? Where did the clippings go... to feed animals? I doubt it.

Do you eat sheep?(oops forgot. canada. sheep are friends. lol.) Goats? Mahi Mahi?

To say that we are at the maximum level is irrational because of the aforementioned omissions.

I agree that we MIGHT reach that level someday, but that would be utter disregard for the interim between now and then. The times are changing faster than we can count the numbers. PEOPLE are changing faster than the data can be assimilated into your model.

 

 

The following is not part of the argument; not an appeal. Just an opinion.

Kevin wrote:
EDIT: Of course, you have your utopian blinders on, so I imagine you'll just dismiss whatever is presented to you anyway. Yes, Josh - we're doing just fine.

DUDE! I don't have 'utopian blinders' and I fucking DO NOT 'dismiss whatever is presented' to me. Think about it. If I did that then why the fuck would I have read your posts and put thought into responding?

This very same accusation can be leveled at the 'doomed blinders' people.

It's sad on a level. To me, some of you are my 'guy on the corner' with a "THE END IS NIGH" sign because someone told you they were out of peanut butter at the store.

 

 

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darth_josh wrote:As far as

darth_josh wrote:
As far as untapped resources, Canada has a fuckton of unused areas
And the most greenhouses in the world.  With perhaps the most wide use of advanced hydroponics.  Who needs arable land when you can farm produce of all sorts indoors, in multi-level greenhouses?  Not southern Ontario!  And we have some of the best soil for planting, on which we do plant a fucking lot.

Now,

Actually, the idea that we are, presently, overpopulated, is... false.  Patently false.  It is quite possible to feed and to sustain all the people in the world.  There is an abundance of food.  The problem, actually, is that food is not evenly distributed.  Countries with more money have more food and waste a significant portion of it.  Yes, there are lots of people, in particular countries, but even they're birth rates are lowering.  China and India?  Their growth rates, respectively, are .629% and 1.578% and they're the most populous nations on Earth.  According to the CIA world fact book, 2008 estimates, the global population growth rate is 1.188% and the the population, as should be obvious, is distributed most numerously, in poor or developing areas where, often the growth rate is below 1% (104 countries of 232 in the world).  The population growth curve is not on such a sharp incline as could be presumed.  We are just replacing ourselves plus 18%.  The peak world growth rate was 2.2% in 1963, for comparison.

That's not to say that there's not a problem, or that there isn't something to worry about when it comes to the world's population.  There is, particularly when we're talking about an overpopulated area where there is not enough food, water or shelter to carry the population.  However, we should consider several factors when assessing the overpopulation of the Earth.  There are abundant food resources.  Food production rates surpass the pupulation growth rate.  A cursory look at growth figures will show that the more developed a country is, the lower its birthrate will be.  The less developed with often correlate to a higher birthrate.  Since the peak population growth rate in 1963, significant development has taken place in China and India and even in (some) parts of Africa.  Oddly, the most improverished parts of Africa, specifically, Zimbabwe, have growth rates less than 1%.  As countries develope their growth rates will fluctuate and then drop or level off.  A look at historical figures will show that trend.  The current projected world population does an extremly poor job of guessing at what levels of development certain contributing countries (those with growth rates higher than 1%) may be in, what their growth rates will change to and how resources will be distributed globally by the year 2050. 

The current prediction is a population of ~9.1 billion in 2050.  That suggests that the growth rate will rise again from where it is now.  That doesn't seem reasonable.  Obviously, Asia and the Middle East will continue to contribute largely to population increase, but to suggest that their growth rates will rise after falling as they become more developed doesn't fit known trends.  Currently added to the population are 75 million people a year to reach 2050 with 9.1 billion people the growth rate would have to increase to 169 million per anum by 2050.  That doesn't seem likely as the population growth rate has been declining quite steadily since 1963 and there's little reason to assume that it will pick up, except for an expected blip when countries attain some improvements in development.

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Quote:Do you eat sheep?(oops

Quote:

Do you eat sheep?(oops forgot. canada. sheep are friends. lol.)

You're thinking of New Zealand.

Besides, you're just jealous because you know damn well that we are imbued with the innate property of awesomeness.

"Physical reality” isn’t some arbitrary demarcation. It is defined in terms of what we can systematically investigate, directly or not, by means of our senses. It is preposterous to assert that the process of systematic scientific reasoning arbitrarily excludes “non-physical explanations” because the very notion of “non-physical explanation” is contradictory.

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I feel I should point out a

I feel I should point out a factor which I understand has been a major contributer to lower than would otherwise be expected population growth rates in Africa especially is the AIDS epidemic.

Depending on just what happens with the epidemic in the future, the growth may well pick up again in those countries, conceivably going higher than it was before the epidemic, as seems to happen after a major disaster.

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 Thomathy wrote:Actually,

 

Thomathy wrote:
Actually, the idea that we are, presently, overpopulated, is... false.

Well... isn't it funny that this comes down to meaning?  Depending on the usage of overpopulated, we might be.  My usage of "overpopulation" is a state at which normal human consumption (conspicuous overconsumption) will irrevocably damage the ecosystem, to the severe detriment or possible extinction of humans.  It is my observation and belief that the current world population would drive most large animals extinct without any more population growth.  We will most likely destroy virtually all of the world's rainforests.  The coral reefs will die.  Most large game fish will go extinct.  "Lower" forms of life like the jellyfish will become the dominant species in the ocean.  Depending on the severity of the effect of our carbon emissions, we might go extinct.

I suggest that we are overpopulated.  However, I do so with the caveat that overconsumption is our natural state and cannot (or is extremely unlikely to) be changed.  I'm not an ecologist, so I'm not qualified to suggest an ideal population of humans, but I feel like it's probably a lot lower.

 

 

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Hambydammit wrote: Thomathy

Hambydammit wrote:

 

Thomathy wrote:
Actually, the idea that we are, presently, overpopulated, is... false.

Well... isn't it funny that this comes down to meaning?  Depending on the usage of overpopulated, we might be.  My usage of "overpopulation" is a state at which normal human consumption (conspicuous overconsumption) will irrevocably damage the ecosystem, to the severe detriment or possible extinction of humans.  It is my observation and belief that the current world population would drive most large animals extinct without any more population growth.  We will most likely destroy virtually all of the world's rainforests.  The coral reefs will die.  Most large game fish will go extinct.  "Lower" forms of life like the jellyfish will become the dominant species in the ocean.  Depending on the severity of the effect of our carbon emissions, we might go extinct.

I suggest that we are overpopulated.  However, I do so with the caveat that overconsumption is our natural state and cannot (or is extremely unlikely to) be changed.  I'm not an ecologist, so I'm not qualified to suggest an ideal population of humans, but I feel like it's probably a lot lower.

I have to wonder if, perhaps, we can be consider to be overpopulated only with the caveat that our numbers irrevokably damage the world ecosystem such that it cannot sustain us and only us (necessarily including that which we need to survive).  I can admit to our being overpopulated in such a scenario.  Is that the current reality?

I'd be very interested in reading a comprehensive analysis of the state of the world's ecosystems, our effect on them and our long term sustainability given a wholistic approach to population growth trend predictions and measures to increase sustainability.  Only, I don't ever expect to see such a detailed paper.

BigUniverse wrote,

"Well the things that happen less often are more likely to be the result of the supper natural. A thing like loosing my keys in the morning is not likely supper natural, but finding a thousand dollars or meeting a celebrity might be."


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 Quote:I have to wonder if,

 

Quote:
I have to wonder if, perhaps, we can be consider to be overpopulated only with the caveat that our numbers irrevokably damage the world ecosystem such that it cannot sustain us and only us (necessarily including that which we need to survive).  I can admit to our being overpopulated in such a scenario.  Is that the current reality?

I can't answer that question authoritatively.  I hold the belief that we are at such a population level, but I hold it with only the conviction due a mildly educated guess.  

Quote:
I'd be very interested in reading a comprehensive analysis of the state of the world's ecosystems, our effect on them and our long term sustainability given a wholistic approach to population growth trend predictions and measures to increase sustainability.  Only, I don't ever expect to see such a detailed paper.

Heh...  I'll give you ten dollars if you can organize a consortium of scientists unbiased enough to compile such an analysis and then get them to come to a consensus on the results.

In reality, I'm sure there are plenty of such scientists.  I just don't think such a consortium could make it past the various political, economic, and cultural obstacles that would certainly spring up.

I mean, hell's bells... we were happy in America when GWB mentioned global warming without a condescending sneer.

 

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Instead of limiting

Instead of just encouraging the limitation of children, adoption should also be considered. There are so many kids who need homes, and adopting foreign children would be helpful. Another big issue is, in poor USA communities, so many women get knocked up at 16 and the father usually leaves. We end up with more criminals, foster kids and problem children.

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Adoption just shifts the

Adoption just shifts the population burden, and not many people outside Hollywood celebrities adopt babies from Africa/Asia. As far as the poor pregnant 16 year olds, wouldn't it be better to provide free abortion and give the mother a chance to improve her life and prevent more criminals/foster kids/generations of people in hopeless situations regardless of how badly it pisses off the religious right?

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Bill Burr

 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y3OkaJnlWFQ   Bill Burr's take on population control.


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 American couples only

 American couples only adopt white babies.  Look at the stats.  You'll see the truth of it.  Ninety out of a hundred babies that need adopting are black.

This is a problem.

 

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Hambydammit wrote: American

Hambydammit wrote:

 American couples only adopt white babies.  Look at the stats.  You'll see the truth of it.  Ninety out of a hundred babies that need adopting are black.

This is a problem.

 

Wait. Who determines need? Are we talking about orphans?

Adopting them is short term and necessary, but I'd rather keep their parents alive longer to raise them. I'd rather their parents have shorter work hours to be home with them more.

One would think this would be right up the 'too many births' people's alley because it's hard to fuck and make babies when mom and dad are around the house watching your every move. lol.

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 Quote:Wait. Who determines

 

Quote:
Wait. Who determines need? Are we talking about orphans?

Need = orphans or children taken from their parent(s) by the state.  I have no desire to argue over that policy.  It happens now, and that's part of what I define as "needs adoption."

FWIW, an ex-gf was a social worker who specialized in children taken from their parents, so I know quite a bit about it.

Quote:
Adopting them is short term and necessary

Are you sure you're not talking about foster parenting?  I'm talking about adoption.  That's permanent.

Quote:
but I'd rather keep their parents alive longer to raise them.

I'm pretty sure there are more kids in foster homes who have been taken away from their parents than actual orphans.

Quote:
I'd rather their parents have shorter work hours to be home with them more.

But then how would they afford two SUVs?

Quote:
One would think this would be right up the 'too many births' people's alley because it's hard to fuck and make babies when mom and dad are around the house watching your every move. lol.

I know you're joking, but I'd much rather have comprehensive sex education... for parents so they know how to teach their own children about sex.  I think grade schools should have sex ed, too.  I just don't think there's such a thing as a public that knows too much about sex.

 

 

 

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 ...This remains my most

 

...This remains my most favorite music video (as well as one of the perhaps 10 I enjoy, from the short-lived era of making something artistic rather than filming a few half-naked chicks bouncing to a given rhythm and calling it good). Accuracy/honesty through and through, and if something doesn't change radically, I'd imagine the future depicted here is an accurate vision.

Quote:
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Hambydammit wrote:Think

Hambydammit wrote:

Think about it.  I can spend a month's pay on a nice suit and some bling.  I can go out to some hot spot with a new haircut and a manicure and drop a hundred bucks on two martinis and a cheese plate.  I can tell the girls that I'm rich.  It's possible that one of them might buy it, but the odds are pretty good that I'm not getting any play until they see that I live in a huge house, drive a conspicuously expensive car, and have a closet full of expensive suits.

If it were true that women only mate with the richest guy they could get, I don't thinks we'd see so much poverty in the world. They mate with the guy that makes they feel the right way. I think that's the difference between rich societies and poor ones, in rich societies money is the most important factor in picking a man.

I don't think it just about materialism. It's about being drugged. Females choose the guy with the best drugs to supply them with. Many christian women would never have anything to do with a rich atheist. Why? Religion is their drug of choice(or indoctrination). For some women they'll go with the poor musician(music is a drug too), artist or funny man. Money is important because men can buy drugs like comfort, convenience, luxury, adventure, etc... So, I think women are more drug addicts than whores. Men too, we got to get our high(so as not be accused of being sexist).

I think the real conflict of our time is human motivation. We are still in a mode driven by our evolutionary past where almost everything we do from breathing, eating, shitting, shitting, fucking, etc... is driven by the short term need for pleasure, survival and avoidance of discomfort. Everyone just wants to feel good all the time.

We have the ability for rational thought and long term planning, but this is usually pushed aside for the sake of our prime(chemically based) motivators. I think we all live in world were we are all in denial about being addicts to all kinds of drugs.

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When I think of a perfect

When I think of a perfect humanity I think of another life form on this planet which is already perfect - ANTS.

Perfect in every way.

 

I think our first step should be to control of population.

Then of course - realization of transhumanism dream.

 

 This of course can't be done without humans actually changing their minds and stopping this nonsense which is happening now.


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Thomathy wrote:darth_josh

Thomathy wrote:

darth_josh wrote:
As far as untapped resources, Canada has a fuckton of unused areas
And the most greenhouses in the world.  With perhaps the most wide use of advanced hydroponics.

Go Leamington! (Which, no joke, produces cacti for Mexico. Not kidding.)

Thomathy wrote:
Actually, the idea that we are, presently, overpopulated, is... false.  Patently false.

Exactly because we would have to determine a precise and meaningful way to tell what "overpopulated" actually means.

Thomathy wrote:
It is quite possible to feed and to sustain all the people in the world.  There is an abundance of food.  The problem, actually, is that food is not evenly distributed.

One slight problem there is that our food production and distribution methods both demand the extra input of oil and natural gas. There's plenty of food, but it's an unsustainable level of food. Therefore, we are guaranteed at some point to have famine no matter what anyone says.

Now, should we plan a preemptive strike against famine by killing off some of the population? Uh, why? We know who's going to die: the poor people. They take the brunt of everything. No matter what we decide to do, poor people will get screwed. Not that I'm saying we should stop caring, just that this particular problem is an uphill battle.

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Just read a comment piece by

Just read a comment piece by Deborah Mackenzie in NewScientist for 22 Nov, which endorses the idea that addressing poverty, educating the girls, empowering women, and making contraception freely available is the best and proven approach to addressing the population problem.

She also points out that most countries have already passed, or are in the process of passing, thru the "demographic transition" to favouring a small number of well fed and educated kids. Parts of Africa lag furthest behind.

Because of the built-in lag between changes in fertility rate and population, there is no practical or moral way to have much effect on the peak population in countries that are close to the transition, so coercion would be hard to justify anyway.

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HisWillness wrote:One slight

HisWillness wrote:
One slight problem there is that our food production and distribution methods both demand the extra input of oil and natural gas. There's plenty of food, but it's an unsustainable level of food. Therefore, we are guaranteed at some point to have famine no matter what anyone says.

Now, should we plan a preemptive strike against famine by killing off some of the population? Uh, why? We know who's going to die: the poor people. They take the brunt of everything. No matter what we decide to do, poor people will get screwed. Not that I'm saying we should stop caring, just that this particular problem is an uphill battle.

I don't disagree.  The whole state of the world is problematic at best, and of course every contributing factor seems to multiply the unfortunate state of the world.  And solutions to one problem seem often to create problems of their own that really aren't worth the problem in retrospect.

But don't fret, my man, we'll see god in our time and won't that be better?

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Thomathy wrote:But don't

Thomathy wrote:

But don't fret, my man, we'll see god in our time and won't that be better?

Ugh. Creepy! Don't even talk like that. I have a feeling we're going to get to a point where we panic on the availability of oil and it becomes clear to us that we're in a corner. Not the rich countries, of course, we'll have "solutions". But we're going to slow down - that's for sure.

It's unfortunate for India. I see terrible, terrible things in India's future.

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 Quote:If it were true that

 

Quote:
If it were true that women only mate with the richest guy they could get, I don't thinks we'd see so much poverty in the world.

EXC, it's really hard for me to be polite to you.  I'm going to try very hard not to needlessly insult you in this response, but I want you to know it's an act of sheer willpower on my part.  It boggles my brain that you can get so many things wrong.

In any big brained social animal, you're going to have multiple fitness indicators for both males and females.  Imagine a simple system with only three variables: size, intelligence, and accumulated resources.  For males and females, size will refer to the best size and strength for their respective tasks, namely providing and securing resources, and childbearing and rearing respectively.

Suppose that each of the three variables is ranked from 0 to 100.  We have a population of unmated individuals, all of whom have set ranks.  Imagine a male and a female:

MALE 1:  SZ 85, INT 56, AR 38.

FEMALE 2: SZ 91 INT 73, AR 2.

As you can see, M1 is very well suited physically to resource accumulation and parenting, and has better than average intelligence.  However, he has significantly less resources than average.  F1 is nearly perfect for raising healthy children, but she is horrendously poor.  On the other hand, she's quite intelligent.

Now, a very intelligent but poor female might look at M1 and say, "He hasn't got the most resources, but he has significantly more than me, is reasonably intelligent, and has the physical stamina to accumulate more resources, even accounting for my poverty.  He is a very good choice."

Then, lo and behold, along comes MALE 2:

MALE 2: SZ 56, INT 85, AR 38.

M2 has exactly the same number of distributed points, but they are distributed quite differently.  M2 is smarter than F1, and also has significantly more resources.  Unfortunately, he is not the most strapping lad in the whole queue.  So, F1 has an interesting choice.  Does she choose the more clever mate, who will be able to outsmart his rivals?  Or does she go with brute strength and rely on her own intellect to be able to direct the duller man in the right direction?

This is a simple example, but there's no clear answer.  If you think for a minute, you'll realize that the answer is environment dependent.  With both males having the same resources, the female will have to judge whether a strong or smart man is more likely to succeed.  If they run out of resources, they will all die, so resources are the ultimate deciding factor, but the female will not be choosing the richest man.  She will be choosing the man who she believes has the best future potential.

Consider a foppish young dandy who has just inherited his family fortune of five million dollars.  He'd be a catch, except that within a year of coming into the cash, he's down to a little over a million dollars.  He's blown it on parties and loose women.

On the other hand, you have a hard working, conservative office manager who makes $75,000 a year, spends frugally, and has accumulated $100,000 of savings in ten years.  The poor guy will be over a hundred by the time he has as much money as the dandy has now, but he's likely to be a better mate, and is likely to have more money than the dandy in five years.

Now, realize that human mating is not based on three variables, but hundreds, each of which has an impact on many others.  Am I tall and symmetrical?  That effects my resource earning potential.  Am I well spoken and articulate?  That effects my resource earning potential.  Do I come from a moneyed family?  Am I well educated?  Etc, etc, etc.

Beyond all of that, there's the simple matter of physical attraction.  Many women would not marry an attrociously ugly billionaire.  They'd rather take their chances with a man of less means and more sexual charisma.

In a lot of ways, resources are the ultimate judge of mating success, but only a fool would say they are the only judge.

Quote:
They mate with the guy that makes they feel the right way. I think that's the difference between rich societies and poor ones, in rich societies money is the most important factor in picking a man.

Yes, EXC, but "feels the right way" means different things to different women.  That's because there are hundreds of variables working within thousands of environments.

Quote:
I don't think it just about materialism. It's about being drugged. Females choose the guy with the best drugs to supply them with.

I should have known this was coming.  You've never defined "drugs."  Humans are chemical factories.  Everything we do is the result of a "drug."

Quote:
I think the real conflict of our time is human motivation. We are still in a mode driven by our evolutionary past where almost everything we do from breathing, eating, shitting, shitting, fucking, etc... is driven by the short term need for pleasure, survival and avoidance of discomfort. Everyone just wants to feel good all the time.

Let me quote myself:

Hambydammit wrote:
Consider a hypothetical person, Bob, who decides that every decision in his life will be made based on which available action will make him the happiest. On the first day of his new life, Bob realizes that expensive gourmet food makes him happier than scrambled eggs, so he goes to the finest restaurant in town and orders their best breakfast. After breakfast, he considers whether to go to work or play a video game. His job is pretty boring, and he's often unhappy while there, so he decides to play the video game. By the end of the day, he's ready to go out. His wife wants him to go pick up the children from baseball practice, but the fact is, he doesn't want to deal with them right now. A beer would make him happier, so he goes down to the bar, leaving the kids without a ride. Somewhere around two in the morning, Bob realizes that paying money for a cab will not make him happy, so he gets into his own car even though he's drunk, and drives home.

Clearly, this situation is ridiculous, but why? At each crucial decision, Bob weighed each of his choices and decided on the one that would make him happiest. If we were to predict Bob's future, it's not very bright. He's going to get fired from his job. He will run out of money. His wife will divorce him, and his children will most likely hate him. It's also very likely that he'll lose his driver's license. He might even kill someone while driving and go to jail for the rest of his life. Since choosing happiness obviously doesn't lead to good decisions, we can see that the Christians are right... right?

This hypothetical situation is an example of something called reductio ad absurdum. (That's Latin for “reduction to the absurd.) What I've done is taken the spirit of the Christian argument and taken it to a logical conclusion to demonstrate that it's absurd. When Christians say that pursuit of happiness is a dead end, or that it will end in destruction, they are talking about pursuit of instant happiness. As intelligent beings, we are able to make predictions of the future and realize that there is short term happiness and long term happiness. Unless Bob is insane or incredibly stupid, he will realize that he cannot spend all his money in one day, and that he must go to work, and that he must pick up his children. He will hopefully realize that the short term sacrifice of a few dollars far outweighs the consequences of being arrested for driving under the influence. In short, he will realize that short term happiness often must be sacrificed for long term happiness. This doesn't take religion to figure out. It only takes a little common sense. Very little.

I wrote that passage about Christians who say that happiness as a goal is a dead end.  The funny thing is, you're making the same argument, and it's just as wrong when an atheist makes it.

Over this past weekend, I spent all but about ten of my waking hours working my ass off.  Nobody held a gun to my head and made me.  I chose to do it.  My power isn't about to get turned off.  I have enough money in the bank to pay all my bills for several months.  I could do whatever I want for several months, but I want to do work that sometimes makes me very unhappy, tired, and cranky.

You haven't defined "drug."  You haven't defined "happy."  You're just ranting.

Quote:
We have the ability for rational thought and long term planning, but this is usually pushed aside for the sake of our prime(chemically based) motivators.

Citation please.

Quote:
 I think we all live in world were we are all in denial about being addicts to all kinds of drugs.

Everyone here knows you think this.  We'd just like to see something approaching a rational argument with defined terms backing it up.

 

 

Atheism isn't a lot like religion at all. Unless by "religion" you mean "not religion". --Ciarin

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darth_josh
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Fine. It seems that you all

Fine. It seems that you all are intent upon ignoring anything other than birth control.

As an alternative, I'd like to see a world where anyone over 50 is a DNR(do not resuscitate). This way we're not killing anyone; we're letting them live until they can't. I am a DNR.

12.7% of the US population is over 65 according to the CIA factbook. Assuming that 50% of those people have had heart problems and been revived OR will die soon, that leaves us with not only a reduction in the overall population, but it will illustrate the need for the birth rate to level; not decline.

Vast amounts of medical resources are freed up.

Side note: It also would open up some nice property in Florida.

In addition to addressing the alleged overpopulation problem, it fixes other complaints as well. The population will become healthier if they know they're going to die of predictable ailments. Obesity, Liver function, and yes... even smoking.

Now before someone again screams "Bitches, quit having babies!" try to defeat the argument. lol.

 

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Hambydammit wrote: Quote: I

Hambydammit wrote:

Quote:
 I think we all live in world were we are all in denial about being addicts to all kinds of drugs.

Everyone here knows you think this.  We'd just like to see something approaching a rational argument with defined terms backing it up. 

The reason I keep hammer this point is this. People keep coming up with solutions to the problems of poverty and overpopulation. Some of them actually can work short term, but the problem is we are stuck with the Malthusian model for human population growth: People will breed until misery(i.e. starvation, war, disease) limits the population growth. This is the 800 pound gorilla everyone seems to ignore.

So you believe in solution to the problem of poverty, namely have a minimum wage law. Fine, I actually can agree that supplementing some one's income short term could be a good thing with strict restriction on how the money is used and how they live their lives. Because this could actually help people while limiting their ability to breed, pollute and consume without producing any wealth.

You on the other hand, wish to essentially pay people to have no job skills in demand. You want there to be no time limits, education requirements, restrictions of liberty on the people receiving a supplemented income. The limits on how high the minimum wage should be set seem to be until anyone that works has a comfortable life.

Now I point out that you get what you pay for, you pay people to be unskilled laborers, you'll get lots of unskilled laborers. You pay people to consume, they'll consume. You give people the freedom and resources to breed, they'll breed. We ought to be able to understand what the effects are of a given system of welfare and understand it's limits. You're response to my objections is that I'm an idiot(I've attacked your religion apparently).

So we disagree fine. But we have scientific methods in place to determine what is true and what the results of action would be. Experiments can be designed to see who's ideas could work. For example in the USA, one state could have a pay for poverty system that you believe in, another could try something different. If others are right and I'm wrong fine, so be it.

But this can't happen. Why? Because in the world of socialism/wealth redistribution, you care soooo much. Caring (with other people's money) is what makes the lefties feel holy. And I'm an ignorant, cold-hearted bastard. I've argued with people of that believe in 'pay for poverty' enough to know it's their religion. Believing that you care more than others makes you feel good about yourself(can I say it's your drug?). It doesn't matter if it works in the real world, like prayer it makes the person doing it feel they are doing something useful.

So the solutions to poverty, pollution and overpopulation become a kind of religion. Communism and Socialism are examples of this. People stick to their ideology(can I say religiously?) because of how it makes them feel. The Malthusian problem never gets taken on because there is no easy solution, but people would rather live in a fantasy world and pretend that there can be some easy solutions(like minimum wage) to this dilemma.

So I keep hammering this point because I believe the real conflict in humanity is between rationalism and doing and believing what feels good. Until people realize this, I don't thing there can be any effective long term solutions with people who would get high on 'caring' and start a conformity cult rather than follow a rational process to discover truth.

 

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darth_josh wrote:Fine. It

darth_josh wrote:

Fine. It seems that you all are intent upon ignoring anything other than birth control.

As an alternative, I'd like to see a world where anyone over 50 is a DNR(do not resuscitate). This way we're not killing anyone; we're letting them live until they can't. I am a DNR.

12.7% of the US population is over 65 according to the CIA factbook. Assuming that 50% of those people have had heart problems and been revived OR will die soon, that leaves us with not only a reduction in the overall population, but it will illustrate the need for the birth rate to level; not decline.

Vast amounts of medical resources are freed up.

Side note: It also would open up some nice property in Florida.

In addition to addressing the alleged overpopulation problem, it fixes other complaints as well. The population will become healthier if they know they're going to die of predictable ailments. Obesity, Liver function, and yes... even smoking.

Now before someone again screams "Bitches, quit having babies!" try to defeat the argument. lol.

 

So the idea drops the population to 6 billion, and it continues to double every 40 years. 80 years from now we have 24 billion people. I fail to see the solution that this implies. The only way to effectively drop the population is to lower birth rates or raise mortality rates. I don't think any one here will argue that we should raise the mortality rate. I realize that there are many factors that go into determining weather or not we are over populated, but there are really only two that govern the actual population.

Now the population may very well not double in the next 40 years, but can you really put forth an argument that the current population is not using some resources at a faster rate than they replenish? We also have to consider un-renewable resources like oil and ore.

Not to mention the weakness to pandemic such a densly populated world would have.

After eating an entire bull, a mountain lion felt so good he started roaring. He kept it up until a hunter came along and shot him.

The moral: When you're full of bull, keep your mouth shut.
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HisWillness wrote:Thomathy

HisWillness wrote:

Thomathy wrote:

But don't fret, my man, we'll see god in our time and won't that be better?

Ugh. Creepy! Don't even talk like that. I have a feeling we're going to get to a point where we panic on the availability of oil and it becomes clear to us that we're in a corner. Not the rich countries, of course, we'll have "solutions". But we're going to slow down - that's for sure.

It's unfortunate for India. I see terrible, terrible things in India's future.

That's even more creepy if God will say what I think he would - "Look at the mess you've done. No candy until you clean up your room! "
Btw, as for the availability of oil, this argument is completely vain in Venezuela, where you can buy 96 litres of petrol per one dollar. No kidding. It might seem the scarcity of oil is artificial, to some degree.


 

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HisWillness wrote:Thomathy

HisWillness wrote:

Thomathy wrote:

But don't fret, my man, we'll see god in our time and won't that be better?

Ugh. Creepy! Don't even talk like that. I have a feeling we're going to get to a point where we panic on the availability of oil and it becomes clear to us that we're in a corner. Not the rich countries, of course, we'll have "solutions". But we're going to slow down - that's for sure.

It's unfortunate for India. I see terrible, terrible things in India's future.

Hehe.  I wondered about that remark after I had posted it.  I considered removing it, but I found it so pointed and so bloated with... implications that I left it.  Of course, you noticed right away that I'm not wrong... but in a different way than I had first read the remark.

The way we're going leads to an unhappy future for a great many people and who knows what else bad for the rest of everyone, but in that doom there's those that see a silver lining.  It's sick, isn't it?

BigUniverse wrote,

"Well the things that happen less often are more likely to be the result of the supper natural. A thing like loosing my keys in the morning is not likely supper natural, but finding a thousand dollars or meeting a celebrity might be."


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Luminon wrote:Btw, as for

Luminon wrote:

Btw, as for the availability of oil, this argument is completely vain in Venezuela, where you can buy 96 litres of petrol per one dollar. No kidding. It might seem the scarcity of oil is artificial, to some degree.

No, that's the result of a nationalized local supply and an extremely low peso. Many oil producing countries could do that, but Chavez is the only one who has escaped the CIA ... twice!

By the way, that's what you get if you want a democratically elected socialist government. You get a visit from the CIA. First, from the corruption squad, and if you don't like those guys, they get someone to cut your brakes. If that doesn't work, they send in actual freaking commandos! Chavez escaped being kidnapped by commandos, and it didn't even show up on US television. Here (in Canada) it was on the BBC, CBC, and every other news station. I checked CNN, and no mention.

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